Bordeaux Wine Enthusiasts

manton

BTW, I am drinking a 2007 that I got for $5.99. It's worth at least $8.99.

manton

I can do that with Burg or very cheap Bord, but good Bord I typically don't like until it is at least 10 y/o.

manton

All right, since it's for science and for us, carry on.

manton

Yeah, I have to say, there are a lot 2009s being popped lately. Personally, I have not opened a single one yet.

What gives?

manton

Why are you addressing that left-wing rant at me? I didn't say anything about where you live or anything else. RE: Bengazi, like I said, I made a prediction. If it doesn't pan out, you can say you told me so. You're sort of slipping into incivility, which is odd for the guy who posted about how nice...

manton

Chateau Vin, yes, both parties are to blame, which is why I said "liberals" not "democrats." To spend, borrow, inflate, etc. like we have been doing is a liberal, not a conservative, impulse. Certainly the Republicans have done it too, but rarely out of conservative principle, ra...

manton

Bacchus wrote:Cheer up Manton, it's not all gloom and doom.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2 ... stiny.html

Some of this may slow the decline but only for a couple of cycles at most.

manton

Re: Bengazi, there are a number of things the President could have done, and a number of things he did do that she should not have done. Anyway, I don't want to hash out all the details, I'm just making a prediction: more will come out and it will damage the administration. If I am wrong and that do...

manton

For the record, JimHow, exits in OH now say turnout was D=38 R=30, so the poll samples were not skewed after all.

manton

I know a great deal about what happened in Bengazi and in DC at the time, and as more facts drip out, it looks progressively worse for the administration. I don't know what the upshot will be but at a minimum, this is going to cause Obama more heartburn for months and it's not all going to come from...

manton

re: ObamaCare, no doubt it will be unpopular, maybe even among a majority. But consider the Canadian and UK health systems. Voters have a bipolar opinion of those systems: they despise the waits, the lousy care, the bureaucracy and so on, but they also furiously resist any reform. The systems are no...

manton

I will say this, the Bengazi issue/scandal is going to be with Obama for a while. This is not over and it will cause him more pain. Not to say that it is equal in magnitude to Watergate, but remember that Watergate happened months before the 1972 election and then consumed Nixon's second term.

manton

I have no more suggestions. It's clear to me that no one I would be eager to vote for will ever win again, nor will any policy I support ever be enacted again. The country has chosen and it has chosen the other side, finally and definitively, and there is nothing I can do about it. I honestly don't ...

manton

The Republican party will be reduced to a purposeless rump within a generation and perhaps sooner--just as they have been in California, New York and elsewhere.

manton

That's actually a good test for whether we want to go down the tubes quicly or put it off for a while. If people start brining up repeal of the 22nd Amendment, the answer clearly will be "the faster the better."

manton

It should be obvious that "maintain current welfare programs and spending levels as they are now" and "let the poor starve" do not exhaust all possible alternatives.

However, maintain is what we shall do, apparently.

manton

"entitlement" is a legal term that describes certain federal social welfare programs, chiefly Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. And, some day soon, ObamaCare.

manton

There is no "Republican way forward." If they do what you suggest--really what every left of center commenter has been saying the Republicans should do since at least the Robert Taft era--they will just make themselves Democrats lite, dispirit their base, and offer nothing to other side's ...

manton

quite forgettable Lafarge Volnay.

manton

RE: the Republican party having to change or die. It's not either/or. It's both. It will change, and it will die. In any event, it will die. Looking at the maps and comparing them to the last 3 cycles, it's clear that the Democrats have built a demographically and electorally impregnable majority th...

manton

JimHow wrote:Latest JimHow prediction: Obama will get a greater percentage of white men in Ohio than he did 4 years ago against McCain. Obama will win Ohio by 6 percentage points.

Is this before or after the aliens land in Columbus?

manton

I was actually thinking of a Burg, would that get me banned from a Bord forum?

manton

I hope this is good because I have some of this but have not tasted it in years!

manton

I don't want to talk about this any more, back to wine.

But I will say that an Obama FL victory is very unlikely, that sounds like cocooning to me.

manton

jesus I really don't belong here.

manton

A lengthy analysis, by a real Republican, arguing that Obama will win:

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/ ... olsen?pg=1

manton

Frum is a Republican in the same sense that Dick Morris is a Democrat.

manton

Your post answers your own question. Koch pac ≠ Romney. I'm talking about spending his own campaign money and, most importantly, time in the state. And the real point is in comparision to Ohio. Whatever Romney has spent in PA, it's a fraction of what he's spent in Ohio. For most of this cycle Ohio h...

manton

But every year they get closer, and they swept the statewide offices in 2010 (admittedly, a wave year for Rs).

manton

We don't know that. Look at this way. PA polls right now look a lot like OH polls. Except that in OH Romney has been spending and campaigning for months and hasn't moved the needle. The most he has been able to do is reach a tie. Only Rasmussen has ever shown him with a lead, and only 1 point at tha...

manton

No, OH or PA gives him a realistic chance. Without those, he has an unrealistic chance.

manton

From other national polls, it appeared the Romney was slightly up pre-sandy, stalled and even dropped a bit during and after Sandy, (to the point that the RCP average went from R+1 to O+1) and now after Sandy Romney appears to be ticking up again. But that's national which really doesn't matter, Rom...

manton

it's not RNC propaganda, seriously, you must be watching too much MSNBC or something, several independent polls over the last few days have had those three states close although the most recent MN poll shows a big Obama lead but of the three MN was always the most distant. I think what happened in P...

manton

Obama is not winning Florida. Goodness, I mean this in the nicest possible way, but I think you are getting your information from biased sources--or, at least sources that leave a lot out. Here's the way I see it now: Florida and NC have solid Romney leads. VA, which Romney must win, is tied and too...

manton

O's lead is quite a bit narrower than 2-6 in most swing states, and I'm not talking about Rasmussen here.

manton

I had a second magnum of this last night (different people though). Since it was at home I had time to give it a long decant, about four hours. Made all the difference. The wine was fully open when we drank it. A bit less of that characteristic St. Estephe "rusticity" but a perfectly matur...

manton

Anyone on either side filled with bravado and confidence is either an idiot or putting on a show. I'm sure there are plenty of people in both categories. Look, four things happened last time that gave Obama such a big margin: 1) Huge Dem enthusiasm which fueled high Dem turnout 2) Depressed Reps sta...

manton

The ed page and the news page of the WSJ not only do not collaborate, they actively hate each other.

manton

The point is, there is a basis for suspecting a lot of these polls. If you want an athletic analogy, it's like predicting that the team that won last time will win this time because you think they will score X runs based on their prior performance, even though batters 3-5 in the lineup signed with o...

manton

No, all you have to do is read the published numbers--that is THE POLLSTER'S own numbers--to see that. Anyone can see it. So, we know what the turnout was in 2008 because it already happend, it's an established fact. And, in a wave year that was super-favorable to Democrats, the D turnout advantage ...

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