Bordeaux Wine Enthusiasts

JimHow

Still watching to see if/when Nate Silver turns FL, NC, and NV from light red to light blue.
I predict he will by tomorrow evening. In 2012 he turned FL from red to blue at about 8pm on election eve, about an hour after I did.

JimHow

Interesting that you gave the Omaha CD to Clinton.
I gave it to Obama in 2008, and to Romney in 2012, which is the way it went each time.

JimHow

Well done, CV. Well done indeed. North Carolina is gonna be interesting. That's why we're gonna have a good idea very early on what kind of night it's going to be. Trump certainly has the advantage in campaign signs up here in the Maine second CD. But I just went to my office on Lisbon Street and th...

JimHow

Yeah I was listening to Hannity on the radio late afternoon in 2004. He was suicidal. Many, including Kerry and others, believe shenanigans went on in Ohio in 2004. That's another place where the exit polls were inexplicably wrong. That's a fear I have here too, Places like Florida and North Carolin...

JimHow

JScott, how do things look in Cincinnati-Dayton?
I've always considered JScott's county the ultimate bellwether, where, electorally, at least, east meets west meets north meets south.

JimHow

It will be a defeat of Trumpian proportions. Oh man I would love to see it. Especially if it is the Latino vote that does him in. Not counting my chickens though. I'll never forget 2000, when all the networks were calling it for Gore because the exit polls had him up in Florida, and then I remember...

JimHow

Well done, Patrick, well done. Right now, on Sunday morning, I'm feeling the momentum going towards Clinton. Who knows what's going on in Michigan, but I'm thinking about adding Ohio and Arizona into the Clinton column, which would make it 351 for Clinton, to 187 for Trump. A few days ago a newspape...

JimHow

Clinton +4 in NBC tracking poll, and the race is a dead heat in Ohio, with one poll having it +1 for Trump and another at +1 for Clinton. I've been thinking of moving Ohio into the Clinton column but I think I'll leave it with Trump for now. Go LeBron! Go Cuyahoga County! Deadline for all final elec...

JimHow

I'd love to hear the top ten lists of you and others CV!

JimHow

Yes, there are presidents….
And then there are gods.

JimHow

The Jim How Top Ten Greatest Presidents, and their Bordeaux wine counterparts….. #10. Dwight Eisenhower. It was tough, there are about 5 or 6 others who could easily be included in the top 10, I'll mention them in honorable mention at the end. But if I have to pick, I have to include Ike in my top ...

JimHow

Interesting that Trump is going to MN.
Is that a sign of strength or a sign of desperation?
I think it is the latter.
I'm with those number crunchers who say it is a 99% chance of a Clinton victory.

JimHow

I agree with the Huffington Post in this little spat with Nate Silver. If Hillary wins Florida, Nate is gonna have some 'splainin' to do. He's really been hedging his bets. Come on, Nate, what is your final call. I made mine two days ago and I'm sticking with it. I don't get his analysis. He has Tru...

JimHow

Ha ha we shall see, CV, we shall see, Up next: The two greatest presidents in U.S. history.... Hillary is +5 in today's national ABC tracking poll, up 6 points from a week ago, right after Huma-Gate. I remember the ABC poll breaking similarly for Obama right at the end when he beat Romney four years...

JimHow

Thanks Jacques, sounds like a fun trip.
Sounds like 2015 is a good year in the Rhone?

JimHow

The Jim How Top Ten Greatest Presidents, and their Bordeaux wine counterparts….. #10. Dwight Eisenhower. It was tough, there are about 5 or 6 others who could easily be included in the top 10, I'll mention them in honorable mention at the end. But if I have to pick, I have to include Ike in my top ...

JimHow

I think bottle shock is a myth.
We have been bringing bottles to BWE conventions from out of state for 17 years, it has never been an issue.

JimHow

I agree, Patrick, these BWE presidential threads are fun. Lots of passion but no insults, etc., like you see on other sites. The African American vote is going to be a little down but from what I've been reading the Latino vote is going to be way up. In the end, it comes back to what Hound said very...

JimHow

It is early for me to do so, but I feel I have enough information to release my quadrennial presidential electoral college predictions: FINAL PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PROJECTIONS A lot has happened since my primarily pessimistic assessment last Thursday afternoon, when I saw a lot of momentum in Trump’...

JimHow

2005 mugneard mugneret fixin has been some of the best burgundy i have ever tasted.

JimHow

ooh, another poll, from "Gravis", which I don't know much about, has Hillary +3 in Florida.
There have been like 5 straight polls that have Hillary between +1 and +4 in FL.
Which, of course, would be the end of this fiasco.
Go, Florida!
Go, Florida, GO!!!!

JimHow

Yeah, I literally laughed out loud at that one.

JimHow

Yes, I always liked David Ross, and he was a big part of the 2013 WS team.
All these guys were old then!
Heck, Jacoby Ellsbury replaced the over-the-hill Coco Crisp in the WS back in '07, WTF?
I like the Cubs too, I just can't stand Joe Maddon.

JimHow

How's it looking out there in CO, Patrick?
What's your prediction for CO?

JimHow

I'm not a Cubs fan, I was mildly pulling for Tito and the Indians, but what a glorious victory! What an amazing game, an amazing series. I saw a 108 year old woman from Chicago on the news the other night, sharp as a tack, talking about her Cubbies, it was very sweet. I remember when my boys erased ...

JimHow

Wow, the poll results ended up being very good today for Clinton. Reuters just released a national poll that has her +8 nationally in a 4-way race. The ABC poll -- which I have always liked, I relied on it heavily four years ago -- has her back up by 2 nationally up from 1 down two days ago. Another...

JimHow

I like it!

JimHow

Potential attendees so far:

JimHow + 1
Stefan & Lucie
Blanquito + hermano
Chris & Marjorie
SF Ed & Lisa
MicgaelP & Nalan
Jacques & Jill
Nicolas & Marie-Claude
Chris + 1
AKR + 1
WilliamP + Linda
Claret
Danny + Danielle
Tim

JimHow

I remember when we drove cross country from Maine to SF for the Napa '02 convention, we brought a number of bottles that seemed to survive the trip quite well.

JimHow

Two polls have Trump up in NH but a local Fox News poll has Hillary +4 in Florida.
Go Florida go! That would be yuuge.
Awaiting any minute the results of a big Boston Globe/Suffolk University poll in New Hampshire…

Update: dead heat in Globe/Suffolk poll.
Man did he gain ground fast in NH.

JimHow

Yes we have considered that and will follow up on it, although I think Alfred will be in Bordeaux that time of year.

JimHow

Trump is +3 in Virginia.
It's turning into a wave election.
Everything is breaking for Trump.

JimHow

Well done.

JimHow

Trump is tied in CO and +1 in NH.
Bad. Very bad.

JimHow

Gulp, University of Denver has CO tied, 39-39.
The firewall is bending...

JimHow

Nice.

JimHow

For me, personally, the Marquette Univedsity Law School poll of Hillary +6 in WI is one of the biggest events of the campaign. It tells me she will more likely than not keep WI and MI. And those are two huge firewall states. Now she needs to keep PA and NH. If she does that, she likely wins. If she ...

JimHow

JimHow

Ha you don't you remember Chicago '01 AKR because you weren't there, first time we met you was Napa '02, the weekend of Nic and the whoopie pie incident....

JimHow

I'm already excited!

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